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Barclays: There is a high degree of uncertainty in the US interest rate forecast in 2025. Based on the baseline prospect of a soft landing of the US economy in 2025, Barclays interest rate strategists predict that the yields of 2-year and 10-year government bonds will close at 3.75% and 4.25% respectively next year, and the yield difference between 2s10s will widen by about 50 basis points. According to the report, interest rate cuts should push interest rates down, while longer-term yields are under pressure from factors such as rising neutral interest rates, high interest rate volatility, inflation risk premium and net bond expansion. But the incoming Trump administration will bring "great uncertainty".The regulatory authorities have made a heavy blow to market manipulation. During the year, there have been nine fines with the amount exceeding 100 million yuan. Since the beginning of this year, the CSRC has made a heavy blow to market manipulation. According to public statistics, as of December 9, the CSRC and the local securities regulatory bureaus issued 28 administrative punishment decisions (including 3 advance notices of administrative punishment disclosed by listed companies) for market manipulation during the year, and 61 persons (families) were punished, with a total amount of fines exceeding 2.352 billion yuan. Among them, 9 tickets were fined more than 100 million yuan. In the punishment of market prohibition, there is also a ticket for both identity prohibition and transaction prohibition. "During the year, the number and intensity of fines for manipulating the market increased significantly, which was the result of strengthening supervision, improving supervision technology, improving laws and regulations and enhancing investor protection awareness." Researchers said that with the application of advanced technologies such as big data analysis and artificial intelligence, the ability of regulators to crack down on market manipulation has been improved. In recent years, the laws and regulations related to the capital market have been constantly revised and improved, and the penalties for illegal market manipulation have increased, which is helpful to increase the illegal cost and form an effective deterrent. In addition, the public and investors' awareness of the protection of their own rights and interests has gradually increased, which has also promoted the reporting and exposure of market manipulation. (Securities Daily)New york, CEO of United Health Insurance, was arrested in Pennsylvania, and a 26-year-old man was arrested in Altoona, Pennsylvania on Monday, while new york police regarded him as a suspect in the shooting of Brian Thompson, a joint health executive. The man, Luigi Mangione, was recognized by employees when he was eating in a local McDonald's restaurant. The police said that he had a declaration, multiple false identities, an untraceable so-called "ghost gun" and a silencer with him. Jessica Tisch, director of the new york Police Department, told a press conference that the documents found on the man showed his "motivation and mentality".

Market information: After the fall of Assad, Italy suspended asylum applications from Syrian refugees.New york police announced the identity of the person detained in the killing of the CEO of the insurance giant. Jessica Tisch, director of the new york Police Department, said at a live news conference that the police regarded Luigi Mangione as a suspect in the killing of Brian Thompson, an executive of UnitedHealth Group Inc New york police said Mangione, 26, was detained in Pennsylvania. The guns involved may be made by 3D printers.Chief negotiator of Volkswagen: We still had constructive discussions.

At the end of the year, the scale of basic industry trusts increased by nearly 50% in a single month, and collective trusts ushered in the peak of issuance, especially basic industry products. According to incomplete statistics of public information, the newly established asset management trust products increased by 23.83% in November, and the newly established scale increased by 109.72%. Among them, the scale of the establishment of basic industry trusts has increased by nearly 50%. According to industry observers, the above situation is mainly influenced by factors such as the year-end impact scale and the hot capital market, which drives the hidden bond swap. (Securities Times)The State Council, USA: (When asked whether the United States seeks contact with Syrian rebel leader Csalany himself) The United States has the ability to communicate with all relevant parties in various ways.Traders said that Spanish buyers have bought a lot of American corn in the past few weeks, exceeding 400,000 tons.